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Enery Storage or Partial Load

Page history last edited by Ulrich Bonne 12 years, 9 months ago Saved with comment

Influence of variable electricity supply on synthetic fuel price.

Ulrich Bonne, Kailua-Kona, Hawaii, ulrichbonne@msn.com,

6 June 2011, rev. 29 July 2011

 

Abstract

We looked into the economics of how much renewable but variable wind, PV or grid electricity cost would have to drop to compensate for the added cost of enlarged equipment and/or storage to achieve an effectively 24/7 steady power supply to a synthetic fuels plant.  We used a simplified life-cycle cost analysis in which electric energy availability varies according to an assumed periodic daily cycle. Equipment and/or battery size and cost increase, as electricity supply capacity factor and the fraction of time decrease at which electricity flows directly from source to plant without storage (batteries) or enlarged front-end equipment with product storage, as illustrated in the block diagram below.

 

Block diagram of synthetic fuel plant, showing *round-

trip” energy storage efficiency options of 65 to 100%.

Of course in reality, wind speed, PV and grid power averages may not only experience daily cycles, but also longer, seasonal cycles, which were ignored in this analysis. For one example involving an electricity availability capacity factor of 50%, using popular lead-acid batteries, electricity cost would have to drop by over 5 ¢/kWh to compensate for the battery cost, and enable synfuel to be priced at the same level as with a 100 % capacity factor.  An enlarged H2 storage system (H2-generation throughput and tank storage) at the front-end of a synfuel plant, in which H2 needs to be produced anyway for further processing, may be more economical than battery storage. In this case, a capacity factor of 50% may only incur a penalty equivalent to a decrease of 0.6 ¢/kWh in the maximum cost of electricity.

We also quantified what effect profit goals can have on the maximum allowable electricity cost: E.g., a 5% drop in the 30-year-levelized ROI was equivalent to allowing a 1 ¢/kWh increase in the cost of electricity.

By not including in this analysis the effects of CPI (consumer price index) and fuel price escalations, the results are more conservative than if those effects had been included.

To view or download the whole paper, please click here. 

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